Melvin Guillard vs Rick Davis
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Rick Davis
Elo1548AverageTale of the tape
32-22-2Record3-1-1
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"HeightTBD
TBDReachTBD
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
Genesis Training CenterTeamLas Vegas Combat Club
What's at stake
Rick Davis is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Melvin Guillard carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1534
If they lose-11→ 1510
If they win+22→ 1570
If they lose-26→ 1522
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1608 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1562 · 5 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Melvin GuillardRick Davis
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Rick Davis63%
Melvin Guillard 37%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Rick Davis a 63% favorite over Melvin Guillard in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Rick Davis holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1548 to 1521, a 27-point edge.
Melvin Guillard enters on a 10-fight loss streak.
Melvin Guillard finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Rick Davis 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.