Melvin Guillard vs Ross Pearson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
32-22-2Record20-17-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'8"
TBDReach69,0"
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
Genesis Training CenterTeamCentral Coast MMA
What's at stake
Ross Pearson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Melvin Guillard carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1535
If they lose-10→ 1511
If they win+10→ 1582
If they lose-14→ 1558
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1609 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1659 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Melvin GuillardRoss Pearson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ross Pearson70%
Melvin Guillard 30%Elo baseline: 57%
The Combat Edge model makes Ross Pearson a 70% favorite over Melvin Guillard in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
Ross Pearson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1572 to 1521, a 51-point edge.
Melvin Guillard enters on a 10-fight loss streak.
Ross Pearson enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Melvin Guillard finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Ross Pearson 60%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.