Meng Ding vs Nate Diaz
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
35-11-0Record21-14-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'2"Height6'0"
73"Reach76"
171 lbsWeight170 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1684
If they lose-12→ 1660
If they win+12→ 1685
If they lose-12→ 1661
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1545 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1727 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Meng DingNate Diaz
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Nate Diaz57%
Meng Ding 43%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Nate Diaz a 57% favorite over Meng Ding in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1672 vs 1673), separated by just 1 points.
Meng Ding enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Meng Ding finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Nate Diaz 81%.
Nate Diaz carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.