Combat Edge Intelligence

Meng Ding vs Shido Boris Esperança

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Meng Ding
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Meng Ding

“Ruthless Assassin”

35-11-0WelterweightUFC

1672Good

Tale of the tape

35-11-0Record11-2-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'2"Height5'10"
73"Reach70.5"
171 lbsWeight170 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Meng DingNow 1672
If they win+12→ 1684
If they lose-12→ 1660
Shido Boris EsperançaNow 1671
If they win+16→ 1687
If they lose-16→ 1655

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1546 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1525 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.80
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
46%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.33
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
51%
Strike defense
TBD
0.50
Takedown avg.
TBD
0%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
0%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Meng DingShido Boris Esperança
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

28 (80%)
KO/TKO
6 (55%)
2 (6%)
Submission
3 (27%)
5 (14%)
Decision
2 (18%)

Combat Edge model read

Meng Ding59%
Shido Boris Esperança 41%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Meng Ding a 59% favorite over Shido Boris Esperança in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1672 vs 1671), separated by just 1 points.

Meng Ding enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Meng Ding finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Shido Boris Esperança 82%.

Meng Ding carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.