Merab Dvalishvili vs Ricky Simón
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
21-5-0Record22-8-1
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'6"
68"Reach69"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Serra-Longo Fight Team· 1771 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamAmerican Top Team Portland· 1662 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
Merab Dvalishvili is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Ricky Simón carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+8→ 1852
If they lose-16→ 1828
If they win+16→ 1737
If they lose-8→ 1713
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1789 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1719 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Merab DvalishviliRicky Simón
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Merab Dvalishvili66%
Ricky Simón 34%Elo baseline: 67%
The Combat Edge model makes Merab Dvalishvili a 66% favorite over Ricky Simón in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (67%).
Merab Dvalishvili holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1844 to 1721, a 123-point edge.
Merab Dvalishvili finishes 24% of wins inside the distance, Ricky Simón 50%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.