Merab Dvalishvili vs Sean O'Malley
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
21-5-0Record20-3-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'11"
68"Reach72″
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Serra-Longo Fight Team· 1771 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamMMA Lab
What's at stake
Merab Dvalishvili is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Sean O'Malley carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1854
If they lose-13→ 1830
If they win+17→ 1832
If they lose-15→ 1800
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1788 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1750 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Merab DvalishviliSean O'Malley
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Sean O'Malley60%
Merab Dvalishvili 40%Elo baseline: 46%
The Combat Edge model makes Sean O'Malley a 60% favorite over Merab Dvalishvili in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Merab Dvalishvili's way (46%).
Merab Dvalishvili holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1843 to 1815, a 28-point edge.
Sean O'Malley enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Merab Dvalishvili finishes 24% of wins inside the distance, Sean O'Malley 70%.
Merab Dvalishvili and Sean O'Malley share 1 common opponent: Petr Yan.
Sean O'Malley carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.