Combat Edge Intelligence

Merab Dvalishvili vs Terrion Ware

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

21-5-0Record18-12-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'8"
68"Reach39,0"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Serra-Longo Fight TeamTeamFight Science

What's at stake

Merab Dvalishvili is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +4 while a loss costs more — Terrion Ware carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Merab DvalishviliNow 1843
If they win+4→ 1847
If they lose-20→ 1823
Terrion WareNow 1571
If they win+20→ 1591
If they lose-4→ 1567

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1789 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1583 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.42
Sig. strikes / min
4.02
42%
Strike accuracy
33%
2.80
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.07
54%
Strike defense
50%
5.97
Takedown avg.
0.50
5%
Takedown accuracy
22%
76%
Takedown defense
45%
0.35
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Merab DvalishviliTerrion Ware
160017001800202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

3 (14%)
KO/TKO
6 (33%)
2 (10%)
Submission
4 (22%)
16 (76%)
Decision
8 (44%)

Combat Edge model read

Merab Dvalishvili88%
Terrion Ware 12%Elo baseline: 83%

The Combat Edge model makes Merab Dvalishvili a 88% favorite over Terrion Ware in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (83%).

Merab Dvalishvili holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1843 to 1571, a 272-point edge.

Merab Dvalishvili finishes 24% of wins inside the distance, Terrion Ware 56%.

Merab Dvalishvili and Terrion Ware share 1 common opponent: Sean O'Malley.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinSubmission · 2025
WinDecision (unanimous) · 2024
Sean O'Malley
LossDEC · 2017