Michał Michalski vs Ronald Humphrey
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-6-0Record5-0-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'11"
71"Reach77"
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
Ankos MMA PoznańTeamAmerican Top Team Atlanta
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1647
If they lose-16→ 1615
If they win+24→ 1653
If they lose-24→ 1605
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1553 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1513 · 5 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Michał MichalskiRonald Humphrey
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ronald Humphrey58%
Michał Michalski 42%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Ronald Humphrey a 58% favorite over Michał Michalski in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Michał Michalski's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1631 vs 1629), separated by just 2 points.
Ronald Humphrey enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Michał Michalski finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Ronald Humphrey 100%.
Ronald Humphrey carries a 6-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.