Combat Edge Intelligence

Michał Oleksiejczuk vs Ovince St. Preux

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

22-10-0Record27-18-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height6'3"
74"Reach80″
185 lbsWeight205 lbs
Akademia Sportow Walki WilanowTeamKnoxville MMA

What's at stake

Michał Oleksiejczuk is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Ovince St. Preux carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Michał OleksiejczukNow 1705
If they win+11→ 1716
If they lose-13→ 1692
Ovince St. PreuxNow 1678
If they win+13→ 1691
If they lose-11→ 1667

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1693 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1686 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.85
Sig. strikes / min
3.03
53%
Strike accuracy
48%
4.50
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.33
60%
Strike defense
48%
1.02
Takedown avg.
1.09
42%
Takedown accuracy
36%
53%
Takedown defense
67%
0
Submission avg.
0.50

Trajectory

Michał OleksiejczukOvince St. Preux
17002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

16 (73%)
KO/TKO
12 (44%)
1 (5%)
Submission
8 (30%)
5 (23%)
Decision
7 (26%)

Combat Edge model read

Michał Oleksiejczuk80%
Ovince St. Preux 20%Elo baseline: 54%

The Combat Edge model makes Michał Oleksiejczuk a 80% favorite over Ovince St. Preux in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).

Michał Oleksiejczuk holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1705 to 1678, a 27-point edge.

Michał Oleksiejczuk finishes 77% of wins inside the distance, Ovince St. Preux 74%.

Ovince St. Preux carries a 6-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.