Michael Aljarouj vs Zhalgas Zhumagulov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-4-0Record19-9-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'4"
66"Reach66"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Old School AcademyTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1656
If they lose-16→ 1624
If they win+16→ 1658
If they lose-16→ 1626
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1537 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1590 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Michael AljaroujZhalgas Zhumagulov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Zhalgas Zhumagulov54%
Michael Aljarouj 46%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Zhalgas Zhumagulov a 54% favorite over Michael Aljarouj in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1640 vs 1642), separated by just 2 points.
Zhalgas Zhumagulov enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Michael Aljarouj finishes 77% of wins inside the distance, Zhalgas Zhumagulov 53%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.