Combat Edge Intelligence

Michael Bisping vs Thales Leites

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

30-9-0Record28-9-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'1"
75″Reach78,0"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
HB UltimateTeamNova Uniao

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Michael BispingNow 1741
If they win+12→ 1753
If they lose-12→ 1729
Thales LeitesNow 1744
If they win+12→ 1756
If they lose-12→ 1732

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1748 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1713 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.33
Sig. strikes / min
2.13
38%
Strike accuracy
41%
2.71
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.99
65%
Strike defense
53%
1.05
Takedown avg.
2.10
43%
Takedown accuracy
27%
63%
Takedown defense
31%
0.32
Submission avg.
1.14

Trajectory

Michael BispingThales Leites
17001750201620172018

Win method breakdown

18 (60%)
KO/TKO
4 (14%)
2 (7%)
Submission
15 (54%)
10 (33%)
Decision
9 (32%)

Combat Edge model read

Thales Leites60%
Michael Bisping 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Thales Leites a 60% favorite over Michael Bisping in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1741 vs 1744), separated by just 3 points.

Michael Bisping enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Michael Bisping finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Thales Leites 68%.

Thales Leites carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.