Combat Edge Intelligence

Michael Bisping vs Yoshihiro Akiyama

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

30-9-0Record16-7-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'2"Height5'10"
75″Reach73,5"
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
HB UltimateTeamJackson-Wink MMA

What's at stake

Michael Bisping is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Yoshihiro Akiyama carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Michael BispingNow 1741
If they win+10→ 1751
If they lose-14→ 1727
Yoshihiro AkiyamaNow 1678
If they win+19→ 1697
If they lose-13→ 1665

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1748 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1648 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.33
Sig. strikes / min
3.10
38%
Strike accuracy
42%
2.71
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.62
65%
Strike defense
58%
1.05
Takedown avg.
2.29
43%
Takedown accuracy
68%
63%
Takedown defense
93%
0.32
Submission avg.
1

Trajectory

Michael BispingYoshihiro Akiyama
1650170017502016201720182019202020212022

Win method breakdown

18 (60%)
KO/TKO
7 (44%)
2 (7%)
Submission
7 (44%)
10 (33%)
Decision
2 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Michael Bisping64%
Yoshihiro Akiyama 36%Elo baseline: 59%

The Combat Edge model makes Michael Bisping a 64% favorite over Yoshihiro Akiyama in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).

Michael Bisping holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1741 to 1678, a 63-point edge.

Michael Bisping enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Yoshihiro Akiyama enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Michael Bisping finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Yoshihiro Akiyama 88%.

Michael Bisping carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.