Combat Edge Intelligence

Michael Boylan vs Mickael Lebout

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

6-1-0Record23-12-2
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'11"
72"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Des Moines MMA AcademyTeamObyfight

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Michael BoylanNow 1610
If they win+24→ 1634
If they lose-24→ 1586
Mickael LeboutNow 1610
If they win+12→ 1622
If they lose-12→ 1598

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1491 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1550 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.60
TBD
Strike accuracy
35%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.98
TBD
Strike defense
54%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
60%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Michael BoylanMickael Lebout
155016001650202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (67%)
KO/TKO
2 (9%)
2 (33%)
Submission
8 (35%)
0 (0%)
Decision
13 (57%)

Combat Edge model read

Michael Boylan71%
Mickael Lebout 29%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Michael Boylan a 71% favorite over Mickael Lebout in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1610 vs 1610), separated by just 0 points.

Michael Boylan finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Mickael Lebout 43%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.