Michael Chiesa vs Neil Magny
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-7-0Record32-14-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height6'3"
75"Reach80"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
SikjitsuTeamElevation Fight Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1770
If they lose-12→ 1746
If they win+12→ 1780
If they lose-12→ 1756
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1710 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1734 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Michael ChiesaNeil Magny
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Neil Magny56%
Michael Chiesa 44%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Neil Magny a 56% favorite over Michael Chiesa in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1758 vs 1768), separated by just 10 points.
Michael Chiesa enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Michael Chiesa finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Neil Magny 47%.
Neil Magny carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.