Michael Chiesa vs Niko Price
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-7-0Record17-11-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height6'0"
75"Reach76"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Sikjitsu· 1660 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamFutures MMA
What's at stake
Michael Chiesa is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Niko Price carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+8→ 1765
If they lose-16→ 1741
If they win+16→ 1654
If they lose-8→ 1630
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1710 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1682 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Michael ChiesaNiko Price
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Michael Chiesa71%
Niko Price 29%Elo baseline: 66%
The Combat Edge model makes Michael Chiesa a 71% favorite over Niko Price in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (66%).
Michael Chiesa holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1757 to 1638, a 119-point edge.
Michael Chiesa enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Michael Chiesa finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Niko Price 82%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.