Michael Chiesa vs Niko Price
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-7-0Record16-11-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height6'0"
75"Reach76"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
SikjitsuTeamFutures MMA
What's at stake
Michael Chiesa is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Niko Price carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+8→ 1766
If they lose-16→ 1742
If they win+16→ 1639
If they lose-8→ 1615
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1710 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1690 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Michael ChiesaNiko Price
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Michael Chiesa73%
Niko Price 27%Elo baseline: 69%
The Combat Edge model makes Michael Chiesa a 73% favorite over Niko Price in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (69%).
Michael Chiesa holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1758 to 1623, a 135-point edge.
Michael Chiesa enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Niko Price enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Michael Chiesa finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Niko Price 81%.
Michael Chiesa and Niko Price share 1 common opponent: Vicente Luque.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.