Combat Edge Intelligence

Michael Dubois vs Micheal Gillmore

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-13-0Record6-5-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'10"Height5'11"
70"Reach72"
170 lbsWeight185 lbs
Strike AcademyTeamMurcielago MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Michael DuboisNow 1518
If they win+12→ 1530
If they lose-12→ 1506
Micheal GillmoreNow 1521
If they win+16→ 1537
If they lose-16→ 1505

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1499 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1518 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.04
TBD
Strike accuracy
57%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.02
TBD
Strike defense
43%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
50%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Michael DuboisMicheal Gillmore
150015502020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (27%)
KO/TKO
3 (50%)
9 (60%)
Submission
0 (0%)
2 (13%)
Decision
3 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Michael Dubois59%
Micheal Gillmore 41%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Michael Dubois a 59% favorite over Micheal Gillmore in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Micheal Gillmore's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1518 vs 1521), separated by just 3 points.

Michael Dubois enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Micheal Gillmore enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Michael Dubois finishes 87% of wins inside the distance, Micheal Gillmore 50%.

Micheal Gillmore carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.