Michael Dubois vs Ron Keslar
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-13-0Record11-9-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'0"
70"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Strike AcademyTeamAmerican Kickboxing Academy
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1530
If they lose-12→ 1506
If they win+16→ 1529
If they lose-16→ 1497
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1499 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1538 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Michael DuboisRon Keslar
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Michael Dubois83%
Ron Keslar 17%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Michael Dubois a 83% favorite over Ron Keslar in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1518 vs 1513), separated by just 5 points.
Michael Dubois enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Ron Keslar enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Michael Dubois finishes 87% of wins inside the distance, Ron Keslar 55%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.