Combat Edge Intelligence

Michael Dubois vs Troy Mandaloniz

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-13-0Record3-2-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'9"
70"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Strike AcademyTeamTBD

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Michael DuboisNow 1518
If they win+12→ 1530
If they lose-12→ 1506
Troy MandalonizNow 1512
If they win+24→ 1536
If they lose-24→ 1488

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1499 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1530 · 4 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.52
TBD
Strike accuracy
57%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.71
TBD
Strike defense
63%
TBD
Takedown avg.
3.10
TBD
Takedown accuracy
67%
TBD
Takedown defense
57%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Michael DuboisTroy Mandaloniz
1500155020072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (27%)
KO/TKO
2 (67%)
9 (60%)
Submission
0 (0%)
2 (13%)
Decision
1 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Michael Dubois60%
Troy Mandaloniz 40%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Michael Dubois a 60% favorite over Troy Mandaloniz in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1518 vs 1512), separated by just 6 points.

Michael Dubois enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Michael Dubois finishes 87% of wins inside the distance, Troy Mandaloniz 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.