Combat Edge Intelligence

Michael Dubois vs Waachiim Spiritwolf

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

15-13-0Record12-13-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'8"
70"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight169 lbs
Strike AcademyTeamSpiritwolf MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Michael DuboisNow 1518
If they win+12→ 1530
If they lose-12→ 1506
Waachiim SpiritwolfNow 1519
If they win+16→ 1535
If they lose-16→ 1503

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1499 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1536 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Michael DuboisWaachiim Spiritwolf
1500155020132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (27%)
KO/TKO
8 (67%)
9 (60%)
Submission
1 (8%)
2 (13%)
Decision
3 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Michael Dubois62%
Waachiim Spiritwolf 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Michael Dubois a 62% favorite over Waachiim Spiritwolf in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Waachiim Spiritwolf's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1518 vs 1519), separated by just 1 points.

Michael Dubois enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Waachiim Spiritwolf enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Michael Dubois finishes 87% of wins inside the distance, Waachiim Spiritwolf 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.