Michael Dubois vs Wagner Silva
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-13-0Record10-8-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'10"Height6'0"
70"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight185 lbs
Strike AcademyTeamTata Fight Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1530
If they lose-12→ 1506
If they win+16→ 1538
If they lose-16→ 1506
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1499 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1523 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Michael DuboisWagner Silva
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Michael Dubois78%
Wagner Silva 22%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Michael Dubois a 78% favorite over Wagner Silva in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Wagner Silva's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1518 vs 1522), separated by just 4 points.
Michael Dubois enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Wagner Silva enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Michael Dubois finishes 87% of wins inside the distance, Wagner Silva 70%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.