Combat Edge Intelligence

Michael Dufort vs Yan Cabral

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Michael Dufort
ca

Michael Dufort

“The Canadian Badass”

17-6-0LightweightSMMA

1698Good

Tale of the tape

17-6-0Record15-3-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height6'0"
74"Reach73,0"
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
H2O MMA· 1644 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamAranha Barcelona BJJ

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Michael DufortNow 1698
If they win+16→ 1714
If they lose-16→ 1682
Yan CabralNow 1698
If they win+16→ 1714
If they lose-16→ 1682

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1569 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1582 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.02
TBD
Strike accuracy
48%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.98
TBD
Strike defense
62%
TBD
Takedown avg.
2.89
TBD
Takedown accuracy
36%
TBD
Takedown defense
38%
TBD
Submission avg.
1.24

Trajectory

Michael DufortYan Cabral
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (18%)
KO/TKO
1 (7%)
13 (76%)
Submission
13 (87%)
1 (6%)
Decision
1 (7%)

Combat Edge model read

Michael Dufort71%
Yan Cabral 29%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Michael Dufort a 71% favorite over Yan Cabral in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1698 vs 1698), separated by just 0 points.

Michael Dufort enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Yan Cabral enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Michael Dufort finishes 94% of wins inside the distance, Yan Cabral 93%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.