Combat Edge Intelligence

Michael Johnson vs Mike Ricci

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Mike Ricci
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Mike Ricci

“The Accountant”

11-5-0LightweightWSOF

1615Solid

Tale of the tape

24-20-0Record11-5-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height6'0"
73"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamTristar Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Michael JohnsonNow 1613
If they win+12→ 1625
If they lose-12→ 1601
Mike RicciNow 1615
If they win+16→ 1631
If they lose-16→ 1599

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1666 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1584 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.28
Sig. strikes / min
1.80
40%
Strike accuracy
32%
3.79
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.64
59%
Strike defense
66%
0.58
Takedown avg.
0.67
39%
Takedown accuracy
100%
81%
Takedown defense
54%
0.04
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Michael JohnsonMike Ricci
16002014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (42%)
KO/TKO
6 (55%)
2 (8%)
Submission
1 (9%)
12 (50%)
Decision
4 (36%)

Combat Edge model read

Mike Ricci57%
Michael Johnson 43%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Mike Ricci a 57% favorite over Michael Johnson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1613 vs 1615), separated by just 2 points.

Michael Johnson finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Mike Ricci 64%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.