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Combat Edge Intelligence

Michael Johnson vs Reza Madadi

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Reza Madadi

Reza Madadi

“Mad Dog”

14-6-0LightweightUFC

1646Solid

Tale of the tape

24-20-0Record14-6-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'11"
73"Reach72,0"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamAllstars Training Center· 1670 avg Elo · 7 rated

What's at stake

Reza Madadi is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Michael Johnson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Michael JohnsonNow 1612
If they win+13→ 1625
If they lose-11→ 1601
Reza MadadiNow 1646
If they win+14→ 1660
If they lose-18→ 1628

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1667 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1612 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.28
Sig. strikes / min
2.51
40%
Strike accuracy
47%
3.79
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.31
59%
Strike defense
67%
0.58
Takedown avg.
3.17
39%
Takedown accuracy
34%
81%
Takedown defense
89%
0.04
Submission avg.
0.50

Trajectory

Michael JohnsonReza Madadi
16001650170020162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (42%)
KO/TKO
2 (15%)
2 (8%)
Submission
8 (62%)
12 (50%)
Decision
3 (23%)

Combat Edge model read

Michael Johnson60%
Reza Madadi 40%Elo baseline: 45%

The Combat Edge model makes Michael Johnson a 60% favorite over Reza Madadi in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Reza Madadi's way (45%).

Reza Madadi holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1646 to 1612, a 34-point edge.

Reza Madadi enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Michael Johnson finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Reza Madadi 77%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.