Combat Edge Intelligence

Michael Johnson vs Shane Roller

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

24-20-0Record11-7-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'10"
73"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamTeam Takedown

What's at stake

Shane Roller is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Michael Johnson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Michael JohnsonNow 1613
If they win+13→ 1626
If they lose-11→ 1602
Shane RollerNow 1636
If they win+15→ 1651
If they lose-17→ 1619

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1666 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1633 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.28
Sig. strikes / min
2.04
40%
Strike accuracy
34%
3.79
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.65
59%
Strike defense
60%
0.58
Takedown avg.
2.46
39%
Takedown accuracy
34%
81%
Takedown defense
42%
0.04
Submission avg.
1.92

Trajectory

Michael JohnsonShane Roller
1600165020102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (42%)
KO/TKO
3 (27%)
2 (8%)
Submission
6 (55%)
12 (50%)
Decision
2 (18%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Michael Johnson and Shane Roller within a point of even.

Shane Roller holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1636 to 1613, a 23-point edge.

Shane Roller enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Michael Johnson finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Shane Roller 82%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.