Combat Edge Intelligence

Michael Johnson vs Valmir Lazaro

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

24-20-0Record19-8-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height6'0"
73"Reach73,0"
155 lbsWeight154 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamNova Uniao

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Michael JohnsonNow 1613
If they win+12→ 1625
If they lose-12→ 1601
Valmir LazaroNow 1613
If they win+12→ 1625
If they lose-12→ 1601

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1666 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1514 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.28
Sig. strikes / min
4.87
40%
Strike accuracy
37%
3.79
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.09
59%
Strike defense
62%
0.58
Takedown avg.
1.33
39%
Takedown accuracy
40%
81%
Takedown defense
96%
0.04
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Michael JohnsonValmir Lazaro
160016502020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (42%)
KO/TKO
11 (58%)
2 (8%)
Submission
0 (0%)
12 (50%)
Decision
8 (42%)

Combat Edge model read

Michael Johnson60%
Valmir Lazaro 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Michael Johnson a 60% favorite over Valmir Lazaro in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1613 vs 1613), separated by just 0 points.

Michael Johnson finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Valmir Lazaro 58%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.