Michael Kuiper vs Tom Lawlor
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-6-0Record11-8-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height6'0"
TBDReach74,0"
185 lbsWeight205 lbs
Team TopfighterTeamThe Jungle MMA
What's at stake
Tom Lawlor is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Michael Kuiper carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1575
If they lose-15→ 1543
If they win+15→ 1598
If they lose-17→ 1566
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1555 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1637 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Michael KuiperTom Lawlor
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Michael Kuiper and Tom Lawlor within a point of even.
Tom Lawlor holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1583 to 1558, a 25-point edge.
Michael Kuiper finishes 93% of wins inside the distance, Tom Lawlor 73%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.