Michael McBride vs Nik Lentz
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-3-0Record30-12-2
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'1"Height5'8"
75,0"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
TBDTeamKill Cliff FC
What's at stake
Nik Lentz is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Michael McBride carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+19→ 1626
If they lose-13→ 1594
If they win+10→ 1680
If they lose-14→ 1656
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1527 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1697 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Michael McBrideNik Lentz
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Nik Lentz64%
Michael McBride 36%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Nik Lentz a 64% favorite over Michael McBride in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Nik Lentz holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1670 to 1607, a 63-point edge.
Michael McBride enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Nik Lentz enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Michael McBride finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Nik Lentz 63%.
Michael McBride and Nik Lentz share 1 common opponent: Scott Holtzman.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.