Combat Edge Intelligence

Michael McDonald vs Patchy Mix

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Patchy Mix
us

Patchy Mix

“No Love”

20-5-0BantamweightRFF

1738Good

Tale of the tape

19-4-0Record20-5-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'8"
70,0"Reach71"
136 lbsWeight135 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Michael McDonaldNow 1736
If they win+16→ 1752
If they lose-16→ 1720
Patchy MixNow 1738
If they win+12→ 1750
If they lose-12→ 1726

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1656 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1712 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.69
Sig. strikes / min
5.30
43%
Strike accuracy
44%
2.76
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
7.30
57%
Strike defense
43%
1.09
Takedown avg.
2.50
67%
Takedown accuracy
0%
52%
Takedown defense
0%
1.45
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Michael McDonaldPatchy Mix
1700175018002017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (53%)
KO/TKO
2 (10%)
6 (32%)
Submission
13 (65%)
3 (16%)
Decision
5 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Patchy Mix63%
Michael McDonald 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Patchy Mix a 63% favorite over Michael McDonald in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1736 vs 1738), separated by just 2 points.

Michael McDonald enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Patchy Mix enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Michael McDonald finishes 84% of wins inside the distance, Patchy Mix 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.