Michael McDonald vs Rei Tsuruya
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-4-0Record11-1-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'8"Height5'7"
70,0"Reach68"
136 lbsWeight126 lbs
Last Stand Fight TeamTeamThe Blackbelt Japan
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1751
If they lose-16→ 1719
If they win+16→ 1745
If they lose-16→ 1713
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1653 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1585 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Michael McDonaldRei Tsuruya
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Rei Tsuruya62%
Michael McDonald 38%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Rei Tsuruya a 62% favorite over Michael McDonald in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Michael McDonald's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1735 vs 1729), separated by just 6 points.
Michael McDonald enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Michael McDonald finishes 84% of wins inside the distance, Rei Tsuruya 82%.
Michael McDonald carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.