Combat Edge Intelligence

Michael McDonald vs Ricky Simón

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

19-4-0Record22-7-1
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'6"
70,0"Reach69"
136 lbsWeight135 lbs
Last Stand Fight TeamTeamAmerican Top Team Portland

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Michael McDonaldNow 1735
If they win+16→ 1751
If they lose-16→ 1719
Ricky SimónNow 1734
If they win+12→ 1746
If they lose-12→ 1722

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1653 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1711 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.69
Sig. strikes / min
3.04
43%
Strike accuracy
43%
2.76
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.85
57%
Strike defense
61%
1.09
Takedown avg.
4.66
67%
Takedown accuracy
42%
52%
Takedown defense
77%
1.45
Submission avg.
0.28

Trajectory

Michael McDonaldRicky Simón
170017502017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (53%)
KO/TKO
7 (32%)
6 (32%)
Submission
4 (18%)
3 (16%)
Decision
11 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Ricky Simón63%
Michael McDonald 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ricky Simón a 63% favorite over Michael McDonald in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Michael McDonald's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1735 vs 1734), separated by just 1 points.

Michael McDonald enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Michael McDonald finishes 84% of wins inside the distance, Ricky Simón 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.