Michael McDonald vs Urijah Faber
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-4-0Record35-11-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'6"
70,0"ReachTBD
136 lbsWeight135 lbs
Last Stand Fight TeamTeamTeam Alpha Male· 1645 avg Elo · 21 rated
What's at stake
Urijah Faber is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Michael McDonald carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1754
If they lose-14→ 1722
If they win+11→ 1788
If they lose-13→ 1764
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1656 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1690 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Michael McDonaldUrijah Faber
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Michael McDonald61%
Urijah Faber 39%Elo baseline: 44%
The Combat Edge model makes Michael McDonald a 61% favorite over Urijah Faber in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Urijah Faber's way (44%).
Urijah Faber holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1777 to 1736, a 41-point edge.
Michael McDonald enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Michael McDonald finishes 84% of wins inside the distance, Urijah Faber 79%.
Michael McDonald and Urijah Faber share 1 common opponent: Brad Pickett.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.