Combat Edge Intelligence

Michael McDonald vs Rani Yahya

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

19-4-0Record28-12-1
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'6"
70,0"Reach67"
136 lbsWeight135 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Michael McDonaldNow 1691
If they win+12→ 1703
If they lose-12→ 1679
Rani YahyaNow 1690
If they win+12→ 1702
If they lose-12→ 1678

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1614 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1657 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.69
Sig. strikes / min
1.71
43%
Strike accuracy
39%
2.76
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.08
57%
Strike defense
50%
1.09
Takedown avg.
2.73
67%
Takedown accuracy
31%
52%
Takedown defense
29%
1.45
Submission avg.
1.82

Trajectory

Michael McDonaldRani Yahya
170020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (53%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
6 (32%)
Submission
21 (75%)
3 (16%)
Decision
7 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Michael McDonald68%
Rani Yahya 32%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Michael McDonald a 68% favorite over Rani Yahya in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1691 vs 1690), separated by just 1 points.

Michael McDonald enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Rani Yahya enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Michael McDonald finishes 84% of wins inside the distance, Rani Yahya 75%.

Michael McDonald carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.