Combat Edge Intelligence

Michael Morales vs Michael Page

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

19-0-0Record25-3-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'3"
79"Reach79"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Entram Gym· 1682 avg Elo · 11 ratedTeamLondon Shootfighters

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Michael MoralesNow 1839
If they win+15→ 1854
If they lose-17→ 1822
Michael PageNow 1827
If they win+12→ 1839
If they lose-12→ 1815

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1677 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1698 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.62
Sig. strikes / min
2.28
49%
Strike accuracy
58%
3.31
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.51
53%
Strike defense
62%
1.09
Takedown avg.
0.19
42%
Takedown accuracy
0%
89%
Takedown defense
70%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Michael MoralesMichael Page
175018001850202420252026

Win method breakdown

14 (74%)
KO/TKO
13 (52%)
1 (5%)
Submission
3 (12%)
4 (21%)
Decision
9 (36%)

Combat Edge model read

Michael Morales70%
Michael Page 30%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Michael Morales a 70% favorite over Michael Page in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1839 vs 1827), separated by just 12 points.

Michael Morales enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Michael Page enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Michael Morales finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Michael Page 64%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.