Michael Morales vs Neil Magny
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-0-0Record31-14-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'3"
79"Reach80"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Entram GymTeamElevation Fight Team
What's at stake
Michael Morales is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Neil Magny carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+12→ 1851
If they lose-20→ 1819
If they win+15→ 1773
If they lose-9→ 1749
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1677 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1745 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Michael MoralesNeil Magny
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Michael Morales90%
Neil Magny 10%Elo baseline: 61%
The Combat Edge model makes Michael Morales a 90% favorite over Neil Magny in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).
Michael Morales holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1839 to 1758, a 81-point edge.
Michael Morales enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Michael Morales finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Neil Magny 45%.
Michael Morales and Neil Magny share 2 common opponents: Gilbert Burns and Jake Matthews.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.