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Combat Edge Intelligence

Michael Morales vs Neil Magny

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Neil Magny
us

Neil Magny

“The Haitian Sensation”

32-14-0WelterweightUFC

1769Great

Tale of the tape

19-0-0Record32-14-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'3"
79"Reach80"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Entram Gym· 1678 avg Elo · 12 ratedTeamElevation Fight Team

What's at stake

Michael Morales is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Neil Magny carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Michael MoralesNow 1840
If they win+13→ 1853
If they lose-19→ 1821
Neil MagnyNow 1769
If they win+14→ 1783
If they lose-10→ 1759

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1677 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1735 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

5.68
Sig. strikes / min
3.40
49%
Strike accuracy
47%
3.26
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.44
54%
Strike defense
52%
1.04
Takedown avg.
2.17
0%
Takedown accuracy
25%
90%
Takedown defense
55%
0
Submission avg.
0.27

Trajectory

Michael MoralesNeil Magny
175018001850202420252026

Win method breakdown

14 (74%)
KO/TKO
10 (31%)
1 (5%)
Submission
5 (16%)
4 (21%)
Decision
17 (53%)

Combat Edge model read

Michael Morales75%
Neil Magny 25%Elo baseline: 60%

The Combat Edge model makes Michael Morales a 75% favorite over Neil Magny in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).

Michael Morales holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1840 to 1769, a 71-point edge.

Michael Morales enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Michael Morales finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Neil Magny 47%.

Michael Morales and Neil Magny share 2 common opponents: Gilbert Burns and Jake Matthews.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (2)

WinDecision - Unanimous · 2023
Jake Matthews
WinSubmission · 2025
WinTKO · 2025
Gilbert Burns
LossSubmission · 2023