Michael Morales vs Sean Brady
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-0-0Record19-2-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'9"
79"Reach72"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Entram Gym· 1678 avg Elo · 12 ratedTeamRenzo Gracie Philly· 1735 avg Elo · 4 rated
What's at stake
Michael Morales is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Sean Brady carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1855
If they lose-17→ 1823
If they win+17→ 1825
If they lose-15→ 1793
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1677 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1751 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Michael MoralesSean Brady
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Michael Morales65%
Sean Brady 35%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Michael Morales a 65% favorite over Sean Brady in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Michael Morales holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1840 to 1808, a 32-point edge.
Michael Morales enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Michael Morales finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Sean Brady 47%.
Michael Morales and Sean Brady share 2 common opponents: Gilbert Burns and Jake Matthews.
Michael Morales carries a 7-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.