Michael Morales vs Shavkat Rakhmonov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-0-0Record19-0-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'1"
79"Reach77"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Entram Gym· 1678 avg Elo · 12 ratedTeamKazakhstan Top Team
What's at stake
Shavkat Rakhmonov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Michael Morales carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1857
If they lose-15→ 1825
If they win+15→ 1870
If they lose-17→ 1838
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1677 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1686 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Michael MoralesShavkat Rakhmonov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Michael Morales60%
Shavkat Rakhmonov 40%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Michael Morales a 60% favorite over Shavkat Rakhmonov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Shavkat Rakhmonov's way (48%).
Shavkat Rakhmonov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1855 to 1840, a 15-point edge.
Michael Morales enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Shavkat Rakhmonov enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Michael Morales finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Shavkat Rakhmonov 95%.
Michael Morales and Shavkat Rakhmonov share 1 common opponent: Neil Magny.
Michael Morales carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.