Combat Edge Intelligence

Michael Page vs Nursulton Ruziboev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

25-3-0Record37-9-2
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'3"Height6'5"
79"Reach76"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
London ShootfightersTeamUZB Patriot

What's at stake

Michael Page is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Nursulton Ruziboev carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Michael PageNow 1827
If they win+9→ 1836
If they lose-15→ 1812
Nursulton RuziboevNow 1726
If they win+15→ 1741
If they lose-9→ 1717

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1698 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1596 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.28
Sig. strikes / min
2.38
58%
Strike accuracy
46%
1.51
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.68
62%
Strike defense
49%
0.19
Takedown avg.
1.36
0%
Takedown accuracy
20%
70%
Takedown defense
33%
0
Submission avg.
0.34

Trajectory

Michael PageNursulton Ruziboev
170017501800202420252026

Win method breakdown

13 (52%)
KO/TKO
13 (35%)
3 (12%)
Submission
21 (57%)
9 (36%)
Decision
3 (8%)

Combat Edge model read

Michael Page66%
Nursulton Ruziboev 34%Elo baseline: 64%

The Combat Edge model makes Michael Page a 66% favorite over Nursulton Ruziboev in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (64%).

Michael Page holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1827 to 1726, a 101-point edge.

Michael Page enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Nursulton Ruziboev enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Michael Page finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Nursulton Ruziboev 92%.

Michael Page carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.