Michael Page vs Rinat Fakhretdinov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
25-3-0Record24-1-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'3"Height6'0"
79"Reach74"
170 lbsWeight171 lbs
London ShootfightersTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Michael Page is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Rinat Fakhretdinov carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1838
If they lose-13→ 1814
If they win+17→ 1828
If they lose-15→ 1796
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1698 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1651 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Michael PageRinat Fakhretdinov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Rinat Fakhretdinov53%
Michael Page 47%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Rinat Fakhretdinov a 53% favorite over Michael Page in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Michael Page's way (48%).
Michael Page holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1827 to 1811, a 16-point edge.
Michael Page enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Rinat Fakhretdinov enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Michael Page finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Rinat Fakhretdinov 75%.
Michael Page carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.