Michael Page vs Shavkat Rakhmonov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
25-3-0Record19-0-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'3"Height6'1"
79"Reach77"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
London ShootfightersTeamKazakhstan Top Team
What's at stake
Shavkat Rakhmonov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Michael Page carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1840
If they lose-11→ 1816
If they win+15→ 1870
If they lose-17→ 1838
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1698 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1689 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Michael PageShavkat Rakhmonov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Shavkat Rakhmonov66%
Michael Page 34%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Shavkat Rakhmonov a 66% favorite over Michael Page in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Shavkat Rakhmonov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1855 to 1827, a 28-point edge.
Michael Page enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Shavkat Rakhmonov enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Michael Page finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Shavkat Rakhmonov 95%.
Michael Page and Shavkat Rakhmonov share 1 common opponent: Ian Machado Garry.
Michael Page carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.