Combat Edge Intelligence

Michael Patt vs Roland Dunlap

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Roland Dunlap
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Roland Dunlap

“The Dream”

7-1-0Light HeavyweightPFL

1607Solid

Tale of the tape

12-4-0Record7-1-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height6'3"
TBDReach79"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Meat Truck Inc.TeamRoufusport· 1700 avg Elo · 7 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Michael PattNow 1610
If they win+16→ 1626
If they lose-16→ 1594
Roland DunlapNow 1607
If they win+24→ 1631
If they lose-24→ 1583

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1525 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1521 · 7 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.65
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
29%
Strike accuracy
TBD
5.53
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
56%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
0%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
0%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Michael PattRoland Dunlap
1600165020072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (8%)
KO/TKO
4 (57%)
9 (75%)
Submission
0 (0%)
2 (17%)
Decision
3 (43%)

Combat Edge model read

Roland Dunlap79%
Michael Patt 21%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Roland Dunlap a 79% favorite over Michael Patt in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Michael Patt's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1610 vs 1607), separated by just 3 points.

Michael Patt enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Michael Patt finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Roland Dunlap 57%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.