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Combat Edge Intelligence

Michał Andryszak vs Ron Waterman

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

31-13-0Record16-6-2
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'2"
79.5"ReachTBD
259 lbsWeight260 lbs
Ankos MMA· 1669 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamColorado Stars

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Michał AndryszakNow 1638
If they win+12→ 1650
If they lose-12→ 1626
Ron WatermanNow 1637
If they win+16→ 1653
If they lose-16→ 1621

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1524 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1577 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
0.84
Not available
Strike accuracy
50%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.37
Not available
Strike defense
43%
Not available
Takedown avg.
4.19
Not available
Takedown accuracy
69%
Not available
Takedown defense
50%
Not available
Submission avg.
2.79

Trajectory

Michał AndryszakRon Waterman
165020072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

22 (73%)
KO/TKO
6 (38%)
7 (23%)
Submission
8 (50%)
1 (3%)
Decision
2 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Ron Waterman55%
Michał Andryszak 45%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ron Waterman a 55% favorite over Michał Andryszak in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Michał Andryszak's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1638 vs 1637), separated by just 1 points.

Michał Andryszak finishes 97% of wins inside the distance, Ron Waterman 88%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.