Michał Oleksiejczuk vs Patrik Kincl
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
22-10-0Record30-12-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height5'11"
74"Reach72"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Akademia Sportow Walki WilanowTeamAll Sports Academy
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1717
If they lose-12→ 1693
If they win+16→ 1718
If they lose-16→ 1686
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1693 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1618 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Michał OleksiejczukPatrik Kincl
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Patrik Kincl62%
Michał Oleksiejczuk 38%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Patrik Kincl a 62% favorite over Michał Oleksiejczuk in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Michał Oleksiejczuk's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1705 vs 1702), separated by just 3 points.
Patrik Kincl enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Michał Oleksiejczuk finishes 77% of wins inside the distance, Patrik Kincl 72%.
Michał Oleksiejczuk carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.