Combat Edge Intelligence

Michał Oleksiejczuk vs Rickson Gracie

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

22-10-0Record11-0-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height5'10"
74"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Akademia Sportow Walki WilanowTeamRickson Gracie Jiu-Jitsu

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Michał OleksiejczukNow 1704
If they win+12→ 1716
If they lose-12→ 1692
Rickson GracieNow 1703
If they win+24→ 1727
If they lose-24→ 1679

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1693 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1524 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.85
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
53%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.50
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
60%
Strike defense
TBD
1.02
Takedown avg.
TBD
42%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
53%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Michał OleksiejczukRickson Gracie
1650170019981999200020012002200320042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

16 (73%)
KO/TKO
2 (18%)
1 (5%)
Submission
9 (82%)
5 (23%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Michał Oleksiejczuk52%
Rickson Gracie 48%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Michał Oleksiejczuk a 52% favorite over Rickson Gracie in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1704 vs 1703), separated by just 1 points.

Rickson Gracie enters on a 9-fight win streak.

Michał Oleksiejczuk finishes 77% of wins inside the distance, Rickson Gracie 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.