Michał Oleksiejczuk vs Sam Alvey
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
22-10-0Record34-18-1
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'2"
74"Reach75"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Akademia Sportow Walki WilanowTeamTeam Quest
What's at stake
Michał Oleksiejczuk is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Sam Alvey carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1715
If they lose-14→ 1691
If they win+14→ 1654
If they lose-10→ 1630
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1693 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1664 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Michał OleksiejczukSam Alvey
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Michał Oleksiejczuk81%
Sam Alvey 19%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Michał Oleksiejczuk a 81% favorite over Sam Alvey in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Michał Oleksiejczuk holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1705 to 1640, a 65-point edge.
Michał Oleksiejczuk finishes 77% of wins inside the distance, Sam Alvey 68%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.