Combat Edge Intelligence

Michał Oleksiejczuk vs Shamil Gamzatov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

22-10-0Record14-2-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height6'2"
74"Reach76"
185 lbsWeight205 lbs
Akademia Sportow Walki WilanowTeamRussian Top Team

What's at stake

Michał Oleksiejczuk is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Shamil Gamzatov carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Michał OleksiejczukNow 1705
If they win+11→ 1716
If they lose-13→ 1692
Shamil GamzatovNow 1686
If they win+17→ 1703
If they lose-15→ 1671

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1693 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1559 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.85
Sig. strikes / min
5.35
53%
Strike accuracy
48%
4.50
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.46
60%
Strike defense
52%
1.02
Takedown avg.
0
42%
Takedown accuracy
0%
53%
Takedown defense
50%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Michał OleksiejczukShamil Gamzatov
170020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

16 (73%)
KO/TKO
5 (36%)
1 (5%)
Submission
5 (36%)
5 (23%)
Decision
4 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Michał Oleksiejczuk71%
Shamil Gamzatov 29%Elo baseline: 53%

The Combat Edge model makes Michał Oleksiejczuk a 71% favorite over Shamil Gamzatov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).

Michał Oleksiejczuk holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1705 to 1686, a 19-point edge.

Shamil Gamzatov enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Michał Oleksiejczuk finishes 77% of wins inside the distance, Shamil Gamzatov 71%.

Shamil Gamzatov carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.