Michał Oleksiejczuk vs Shamil Gamzatov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
22-10-0Record14-2-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height6'2"
74"Reach76"
185 lbsWeight205 lbs
What's at stake
Michał Oleksiejczuk is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Shamil Gamzatov carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1715
If they lose-13→ 1691
If they win+18→ 1688
If they lose-14→ 1656
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1693 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1578 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Michał OleksiejczukShamil Gamzatov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Michał Oleksiejczuk73%
Shamil Gamzatov 27%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Michał Oleksiejczuk a 73% favorite over Shamil Gamzatov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Michał Oleksiejczuk holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1704 to 1670, a 34-point edge.
Shamil Gamzatov enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Michał Oleksiejczuk finishes 77% of wins inside the distance, Shamil Gamzatov 71%.
Shamil Gamzatov carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.