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Combat Edge Intelligence

Michel Batista vs Nicolaj Wagner

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

4-2-0Record5-4-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'2"
TBDReach-
256 lbsWeight249 lbs
American Top Team KendallTeam

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Michel BatistaNow 1524
If they win+24→ 1548
If they lose-24→ 1500
Nicolaj WagnerNow 1530
If they win+24→ 1554
If they lose-24→ 1506

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1494 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1495 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

0
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
Not available
Strike accuracy
Not available
4.03
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
40%
Strike defense
Not available
6.72
Takedown avg.
Not available
Not available
Takedown accuracy
Not available
0%
Takedown defense
Not available
0
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Michel BatistaNicolaj Wagner
150015501600201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (50%)
KO/TKO
5 (100%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
2 (50%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Nicolaj Wagner59%
Michel Batista 41%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Nicolaj Wagner a 59% favorite over Michel Batista in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1524 vs 1530), separated by just 6 points.

Michel Batista enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Michel Batista finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Nicolaj Wagner 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.