Combat Edge Intelligence

Michel Pereira vs Niko Price

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Niko Price
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Niko Price

“The Hybrid”

16-11-0WelterweightUFC

1624Solid

Tale of the tape

32-15-0Record16-11-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height6'0"
73"Reach76"
186 lbsWeight170 lbs

What's at stake

Michel Pereira is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Niko Price carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Michel PereiraNow 1695
If they win+10→ 1705
If they lose-14→ 1681
Niko PriceNow 1624
If they win+14→ 1638
If they lose-10→ 1614

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1701 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1691 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.46
Sig. strikes / min
5.13
52%
Strike accuracy
43%
4.40
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.61
51%
Strike defense
48%
1.21
Takedown avg.
0.98
57%
Takedown accuracy
28%
76%
Takedown defense
50%
0.65
Submission avg.
0.62

Trajectory

Michel PereiraNiko Price
165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

11 (34%)
KO/TKO
10 (63%)
9 (28%)
Submission
3 (19%)
12 (38%)
Decision
3 (19%)

Combat Edge model read

Michel Pereira73%
Niko Price 27%Elo baseline: 60%

The Combat Edge model makes Michel Pereira a 73% favorite over Niko Price in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).

Michel Pereira holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1695 to 1624, a 71-point edge.

Niko Price enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Michel Pereira finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Niko Price 81%.

Niko Price carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.