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Combat Edge Intelligence

Michel Pereira vs Niko Price

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Niko Price
us

Niko Price

“The Hybrid”

16-11-0WelterweightUFC

1638Solid

Tale of the tape

32-15-0Record16-11-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height6'0"
73"Reach76"
186 lbsWeight170 lbs

What's at stake

Michel Pereira is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Niko Price carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Michel PereiraNow 1697
If they win+10→ 1707
If they lose-14→ 1683
Niko PriceNow 1638
If they win+14→ 1652
If they lose-10→ 1628

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1704 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1682 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.46
Sig. strikes / min
5.11
52%
Strike accuracy
43%
4.40
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.57
51%
Strike defense
48%
1.21
Takedown avg.
1.06
57%
Takedown accuracy
10%
76%
Takedown defense
50%
0.65
Submission avg.
0.62

Trajectory

Michel PereiraNiko Price
165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

11 (34%)
KO/TKO
10 (63%)
9 (28%)
Submission
3 (19%)
12 (38%)
Decision
3 (19%)

Combat Edge model read

Niko Price53%
Michel Pereira 47%Elo baseline: 42%

The Combat Edge model makes Niko Price a 53% favorite over Michel Pereira in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Michel Pereira's way (42%).

Michel Pereira holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1697 to 1638, a 59-point edge.

Michel Pereira finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Niko Price 81%.

Niko Price carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.