Michel Pereira vs Niko Price
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
32-15-0Record16-11-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height6'0"
73"Reach76"
186 lbsWeight170 lbs
Overcome AcademyTeamFutures MMA
What's at stake
Michel Pereira is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Niko Price carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1702
If they lose-14→ 1678
If they win+14→ 1637
If they lose-10→ 1613
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1701 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1690 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Michel PereiraNiko Price
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Michel Pereira76%
Niko Price 24%Elo baseline: 60%
The Combat Edge model makes Michel Pereira a 76% favorite over Niko Price in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).
Michel Pereira holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1692 to 1623, a 69-point edge.
Niko Price enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Michel Pereira finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Niko Price 81%.
Niko Price carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.