Combat Edge Intelligence

Michel Pereira vs Ryan Gandra

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ryan Gandra
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Ryan Gandra

“Problema”

10-1-0MiddleweightUFC

1695Good

Tale of the tape

32-15-0Record10-1-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'1"
73"Reach74"
186 lbsWeight184 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Michel PereiraNow 1695
If they win+12→ 1707
If they lose-12→ 1683
Ryan GandraNow 1695
If they win+16→ 1711
If they lose-16→ 1679

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1701 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1524 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.46
Sig. strikes / min
11.71
52%
Strike accuracy
50%
4.40
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.30
51%
Strike defense
74%
1.21
Takedown avg.
0
57%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
76%
Takedown defense
100%
0.65
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Michel PereiraRyan Gandra
1600165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

11 (34%)
KO/TKO
7 (70%)
9 (28%)
Submission
1 (10%)
12 (38%)
Decision
2 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Ryan Gandra52%
Michel Pereira 48%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ryan Gandra a 52% favorite over Michel Pereira in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Michel Pereira's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1695 vs 1695), separated by just 0 points.

Ryan Gandra enters on a 9-fight win streak.

Michel Pereira finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Ryan Gandra 80%.

Michel Pereira and Ryan Gandra share 1 common opponent: Zach Reese.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinDecision (split) · 2026
Zach Reese
WinTKO · 2026