Combat Edge Intelligence

Michel Pereira vs Santiago Ponzinibbio

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

32-15-0Record30-10-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height6'0"
73"Reach73″
186 lbsWeight170 lbs
Overcome AcademyTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Michel PereiraNow 1695
If they win+12→ 1707
If they lose-12→ 1683
Santiago PonzinibbioNow 1698
If they win+12→ 1710
If they lose-12→ 1686

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1701 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1719 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.46
Sig. strikes / min
4.78
52%
Strike accuracy
42%
4.40
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.68
51%
Strike defense
62%
1.21
Takedown avg.
0.60
57%
Takedown accuracy
12%
76%
Takedown defense
71%
0.65
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Michel PereiraSantiago Ponzinibbio
17001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

11 (34%)
KO/TKO
17 (57%)
9 (28%)
Submission
6 (20%)
12 (38%)
Decision
7 (23%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Michel Pereira and Santiago Ponzinibbio within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1695 vs 1698), separated by just 3 points.

Santiago Ponzinibbio enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Michel Pereira finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Santiago Ponzinibbio 77%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.