Michel Pereira vs Zach Reese
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
32-15-0Record10-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'3"
73"Reach77"
186 lbsWeight185 lbs
Overcome AcademyTeamW4R Training Center· 1597 avg Elo · 6 rated
What's at stake
Michel Pereira is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Zach Reese carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1707
If they lose-13→ 1683
If they win+17→ 1681
If they lose-15→ 1649
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1705 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1621 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Michel PereiraZach Reese
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Michel Pereira62%
Zach Reese 38%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Michel Pereira a 62% favorite over Zach Reese in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Michel Pereira holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1696 to 1664, a 32-point edge.
Zach Reese enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Michel Pereira finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Zach Reese 80%.
Zach Reese carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.